Stock Market News 8-29-15

Markets: Worries about the crashing Chinese stock market and slowing Chinese growth sent world markets tumbling on Monday. (The Chinese market had been up 67% in 2015, and is now down for the year.) The DOW was down 1000 points at the open, amid rampant margin calls, which sent investors scrambling. Record amounts of cash were withdrawn from US Equity markets – $29.5B.

But then, the market reversed dramatically on Wednesday, with the DOW rising 4%, and the S&P gaining 3.9%, their best 1-day gains since 2011. A robust Q2 GDP gain of 3.7% lifted markets again on Thursday. Dovish Fed comments about a Sept. rate hike also helped to fuel the gains. Crude Oil even caught a bid, with WTI futures up over 12% for the week.
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Volatility: The VIX soared again this week, rising to above 40 on Monday, for the 1st time since 2011. After all of the turmoil, it settled at $26.10, down 7% for the week.

Currency: The strong GDP number helped to lift the US $ against most major currencies this week.
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Market Breadth: 17 out of 30 DOW stocks rose this week, vs. 0 last week. 53% of all S&P 500 stocks rose this week, vs. only 3% last week.

US Economic News: The 2nd estimate of 3.7% for Q2 GDP was a pleasant surprise, after a tepid 2.3% in Q1. Forecasters were looking for just 3.2%. Consumer Confidence hit its 2nd highest reading since the recession this week, at 101.5.
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Our latest Dividend Stocks Blog article (AUGUST) : “A Safe Haven: Community Bank Dividend Stocks

Week Ahead Highlights: The heavily-anticipated August Non-Farm Payrolls report will come out next Friday, and should provide more clarity about the strength of the U.S. economy. The Fed’s Beige Book may also reveal more about the Fed’s take on the US economy, and the timing of its 1st rate hike. Market turmoil may have served to dampen the Fed’s resolve to raise rates in September. Hmmmm…Does a Chinese slowdown = weaker 2nd half for US exporters? The week leading onto Labor Day is also historically one of the market’s slowest weeks of the year.

Next Week’s US Economic Reports:
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Sectors & Futures:
Energy stocks led this week, as Utilities lagged.
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Crude Oil led, and Cotton lagged.
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A Safe Haven: Community Bank Dividend Stocks

by Robert Hauver
Looking for a place to hide from the recent market turmoil? With the market’s 800+ point swings over the past week, you’re surely not alone in looking for more stability. Interestingly, it has been hiding in plain sight for much of the past year, in the Community Bank industry.
These are micro cap stocks, usually with market caps below $300M, and with a small amount of branches, often fewer than 5-10. We’ve held various community bank dividend stocks over the years, and, over the past 52 weeks, one bank in particular has been a safe haven holding for us: Access National Corporation, (ANCX), a 5-branch bank in the DC area.
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Profile: Access National Corporation is the parent of Access National Bank, a commercial bank serving middle market businesses and associated professionals throughout the Washington D.C. region. The Banks core services include commercial credit, deposit, investment, cash management, private banking and real estate finance. The Bank also has subsidiaries that provide wealth management, retirement planning, securities brokerage and equipment leasing.
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Dividends: Although ANCX isn’t a high dividend stock, it has a dependable 3% dividend yield, and has also achieved a 5-year dividend growth rate of 11.20%.
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ANCX has also paid a special dividend in the 4th quarter, during years in which its Capital Ratio went over 10.50%. It paid $.70 in 2011 and 2012, and $.35 in 2013.

Options: We haven’t added options for ANCX to our Covered Calls Table, or to our Cash Secured Puts Table, as it doesn’t have options available yet.

Earnings: ANCX grew its deposits by over 14%, and its Net Income by nearly 38% in the 1st half of 2015. Its Book Value/Share also grew by 7.81%.
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ANCX has had a long history of EPS growth:
ANCX-DIV-EPS-HISTRY

Here’s a breakdown of ANCX’s pre-tax earnings breakdown between Mortgage Fee Income, (about 21% in 2014), and Commercial Bank earnings , (79% in 2014):
ANCX-FEE-BKDWN
Commercial and Industrial loans have driven loan growth since the recession, and comprise over 75% of current loans:
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Deposits Breakdown & Growth:

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ANCX-LOAN-DEP-GROWTH

Earnings Beats & Rising Estimates: ANCX has beaten analysts consensus estimates for the past straight 4 quarters.
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Valuations:
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Major Holders: Mgt. is well-aligned with shareholders, and ANCX’s shares are also held by 59 institutions.
ANCX-HOLDERS
Disclosure: Author owned shares of ANCX at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only, and is not intended as investment advice. Please practice due diligence before purchasing any stock.
Copyright 2015 DeMar Marketing. All Rights Reserved.

Stock Market News 8-22-15

Markets: Weak data from China, more more Oil declines, emerging market worries, (i.e. Brazil), and ongoing FED rate hike worries, all combined to send markets tumbling Friday, in the worst weekly rout of the year. The DOW lost 531 points Friday- its worst week since 2011, after a Friday am report from China showed Mfg. there had hit a 6-year low. The S&P 500 had its worst weekly decline since 2011.
Markets throughout the world also fell steeply this week.
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Volatility: The VIX had its beggest 1-week rally ever, surging 118%, as investors plowed into S&P 500 options to hedge their positions. Options values soared, as the VIX hit a 4-yrar high, ending at 28.03.
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Currency: The US $ fell vs. most major currencies, except the Loonie, and the Aussie $ – 2 commodity-rich country’s currencies, thanks to weak Chinese economic data.$-82215
Market Breadth: All 30 DOW stocks fell this week – anywhere from -2.16%, (McDonalds), to -10.79%, (Chevron). Only 15 out of S&P 500 stocks rose, with Netflix losing 15.75% being the biggest loser, at 15.75%.

US Economic News: Existing Home Sales hit their highest point in 8 years, since early 2007, as US mortgage rates continued to hit multi-month lows, down to an avg. 4.11%.
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Week Ahead Highlights: (Reuters): “The Federal Reserve begins its annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, next week. Investors will be looking for any signs that the central bank is increasingly worried about global issues or whether it is going ahead with what had been a widely-expected interest rate hike in September.”

The Fed has said its decision to raise rates will depend on data such as an improving jobs market and housing market. Should the Fed signal that it plans to raise rates, investor sentiment towards the United States and emerging markets may further diverge.

Minutes released Wednesday of the central bank’s most recent meeting revealed Fed officials were concerned about “recent decreases in oil prices and the possibility of adverse spillovers from slower economic growth in China,” a detail which helped spark the selling this week.”

Next Week’s US Economic Reports:
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Sectors & Futures:
All sectors fell this week, but Utilities fell the least, while Energy stocks fell the most:
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Gold led, while coffee lagged. VIX futures surged:
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Stock Market News 8-15-15

Markets: After a topsy-turvy week, the market managed to eke out small gains. China’s 3% currency devaluation and slowdown fears sent markets reeling early in the week. Crude oil hit its lowest point in 6 years, and has many Energy mavens calling for a low.
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Volatility: After rising as high as on Wednesday’s big seeswaw day, the VIX closed the week down 4%, at 12.89.

Currency: The US $ gained vs. the Aussie and NZ dollars, and fell vs. most other major currencies.
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Market Breadth: 6 DOW 30 stocks rose this week, vs. 5 last week. 53% of the S&P 500 rose this week, vs. 38% last week.

US Economic News: The 4-week avg. for Unemployment Claims is at its lowest since 2000. Core Producer Prices remain stubbornly low, rising only .6% in July, vs. an .8% rise in June, much lower than the Fed’s 2% inflation target, leading more economists to predict a December Fed rate hike, vs. September.
RPT-81515
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Week Ahead Highlights: Investors will be parsing the minutes on Wednesday, from the Fed’s last meeting, for further clues about future rate hike timing. Housing data will be in the spotlight – Housing Starts, Permits, and Existing Home Sales reports will be released.

Next Week’s US Economic Reports:
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Sectors & Futures:
Telecoms led, while Consumer Staples trailed, this week:
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Coffee futures led, Soybeans trailed:
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Stock Market News 8-8-15

Markets: A solid Non-Farm Payrolls report sent markets down again on Friday, as the possibility of the Fed’s 1st rate hike in over 6 years loomed larger in investors’ minds. The DOW has suffered its worst losing streak in 4 years, falling 7 sessions in a row.

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Volatility: The VIX rose 10.5% this week, ending at 13.39, and reaching a high point of 14.58.

Currency: The US $ rose vs. most major currencies, on the back of the solid Payrolls report. Oddly, it fell vs. commodity-rich Australia and New Zealand.
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Market Breadth: 5 of 30 DOW stocks rose this week, vs. 23 last week. 38% of the S&P 500 rose this week, vs. 71% last week.

US Economic News: The US added 215,000 jobs in July, and May & June figures were increased by a total of 14,000 jobs. Job gains occurred in retail trade, health care, professional and technical services, and financial activities.

Jobless Claims are still hovering near 40-year lows, with firing down, and the average claims remaining below 300K since March, which is the longest stretch since 1972.
RPT-8815

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Week Ahead Highlights: The OPEC carterl releases its monthly report on Tuesday, which could rattle Energy markets. On Thursday, retail sales are expected to rise a solid 0.6% in July vs. June, due to strength in vehicle sales.

Next Week’s US Economic Reports:
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Sectors & Futures:
Defensive Utility stocks led this week, while beaten-up Energy stocks lagged.
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Crude oil futures closed at their lowest in 4 months Friday, as a rising dollar put pressure on commodities.
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Stock Market News 8-1-15

Markets: The NASDAQ and the S&P 500 both had solid gains in July, while the DOW gained just .40%, and the RUSSELL small caps retreated. Year-to-date, the DOW large caps are still in the red, and the NASDAQ leads by a wide margin.

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Volatility: After rising to 16.27 on Monday, due to US market reactions from the Chinese market selloff, the VIX fell 12% this week, ending at 12.12.

Currency: The US $ has made large gains vs. most major currencies year-to-date, excepting the Pound and the Swiss Franc. The NZ Dollar has had a very poor performance vs. the US $.

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The US $ gained vs. mos major currencies in July:

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Market Breadth: 23 DOW stocks rose this week, vs. 5 last week. 71% of the S&P 500 stocks rose this week, vs. 23% last week.

US Economic News: Consumer Confidence sank to 90.93, its biggest monthly drop since Aug. 2011. The FED kept its rate at .25, as expected.

RPT-8115

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Our latest Dividend Stocks Blog article: “2 Consumer Staples Dividend Stocks Beating The Market” (You can read our latest blog articles by scrolling down this page)

Week Ahead Highlights: Non-Farm Payrolls and the Unemployment figure come out on Friday…ADP releases its employment report on Wednesday.

Next Week’s US Economic Reports:

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Sectors & Futures:
Consumer Staples led in July, while Energy trailed.

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Gasoline Futures have led in 2015, while Coffee futures have lagged.

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2 Consumer Staples Dividend Stocks Beating The Market

By Robert Hauver

Looking for stable dividend stocks to ride out the ups and downs of the market in the last half of the year?
The final 6 months, especially October, are often more volatile than the 1st half of the year.
Historically, October has been 40% more volatility than the 11 other months.
Couple that with October and September having the lowest average historical returns, and you can
see why investors seek out defensive stocks to hide behind during the last 2 quarters.
Click here to read more…