Excelon (EXC) – A Utility Dividend Stock With Steady Growth Prospects

By Robert Hauver

Excelon, (EXC), is one of many dividend paying stocks in the Diversified Utility stocks sub-group, but what sets EXC apart from its peers are its abundant superior management, valuation and growth metrics, in addition to its wide moat within the reemerging nuclear energy production arena.  Exelon delivers electricity to approximately 5.4 million customers in northern Illinois via ComEd and southeastern Pennsylvania via PECO, as well as natural gas to 486,000 customers in the Philadelphia area via PECO. (EXC is listed in the Utilities section of our High Dividend Stocks by Sector tables).

With the BP Gulf disaster in the news every day, proven alternative energy sources are looking more attractive than ever. In a recent forum, Excelon CEO John Rowe called for the Senate to pass the pending energy bill that would put a price on carbon emissions, stating, “As the nation’s largest nuclear operator, Excelon also appreciates that the senators have recognized nuclear power as a low-emission source of baseload electricity, with an important role to play in the country’s transition to a low-carbon economy”.

As the lowest carbon emitter in the industry, Excelon stands to benefit from carbon cap and trade legislation.  EXC also created a new subsidiary in 2009, Excelon Transmission Co., which benefits from the expertise of former Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, (FERC) member Betsy Moler,  EXC’s VP of Gov’t Affairs and Public Policy.  Excelon’s website says that Ms. Moler led the FERC “landmark efforts  on open access and promoting competitive markets”. The subsidiary will focus on ways to capitalize on the expected $60 – $100 billion US investment in transmission over the next 10 years, such as moving “renewable  energy from the upper midwest and the Dakotas to population centers”, mitigating oversupply, improving reliability, and reducing congestion. (Source: Excelon website).

EXC’s two other divisions, ComEd and PECO, “will make up to $725 million in “smart grid” investments in Illinois and PA over the coming years”, and should give EXC a “regulated return on investment and stable earnings growth”.  PECO has already been awarded the maximum allowable grant of $200 million by the US Dept. of Energy for their current smart grid project in Philadelphia.

PECO has also filed for approvals to increase its annual electric and natural gas delivery revenues by $316 million and $44 million, respectively, beginning January 1, 2011.

Here are the figures of our Industry Comparison:

Excelon Diversified Utilities Group
P/E 9.38 16.23
Long-term EPS Growth 19.00% 5.00%
PEG 1.18 3.17
Profit Margin 16.09% 7.64%
Debt/Equity .97 1.30
Price/Cash 10.18 89.01
ROE 21.55% 9.96%
ROA 5.51% 2.86%
ROI 6.07% 3.38%
Dividend Yield 5.50% 5.01%

Excelon currently has a 50.58% dividend payout ratio, and pays a $.525/share dividend quarterly.  Their most recent ex-dividend date was May 12th, with a payout date of June 9th.

There are also options available for Excelon.  Our Covered Calls table currently lists the Jan. 2011 $40.00 call, which nets $2.25/share in call option premium and $1.05 in dividends. At Friday’s $38.74 price, your static/unassigned yield would be 8%. The break-even is $35.44.  If EXC rises to around $42.30 or higher, your underlying shares will most likely be assigned, giving you an additional $1.26/share profit, or 3%. The total assigned yield would be 11% for just under 8 months, or 17.7% annualized.

Investors looking for a lower entry point could sell cash-secured put options, and get a $34.40 break-even. The Jan. 2011 $37.50 put was bid at $3.10 today, which equals an 8% nominal yield, or 12.89% annualized.

Disclosure: No positions in EXC at this time.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only.

Linear Tech, (LLTC) – An Undervalued Tech Dividend Stock With Growth Potential

By Robert Hauver

If you’re looking for undervalued dividend paying stocks in the Tech sector, you may want to consider Linear Technology, (LLTC), a firm which designs, manufactures and markets integrated circuits in the Specialized Semiconductor sub-sector.  A recent addition to the Tech section of our High Dividend Stocks by Sector tables, LLTC currently has a 3.26% dividend yield, paying $.23/share quarterly.  You can also increase your yield on LLTC, via options trading strategies, such as selling covered calls or selling put options.

LLTC fares well in our Industry Comparison table:

LLTC Semiconductor Industry
P/E 22.24 28.30
Price/Cash Flow/Share 18.92 22.83

ROE

45.01 10.74
ROA 18.55 8.06
ROI 49.37 9.65
Debt/Equity NO DEBT 19.30

LLTC also offers investors strong prospects for growth. In April, LLTC reported a 100% increase in net income of $.44/share, and a 55% jump in revenue.  Forbes reports that, LLTC’s “trailing 12-month earnings have already replicated its best ever four consecutive quarters”…”subsequent comparisons will necessarily moderate, but likely sustain 25 % to 30% or even higher rates of growth through 2012.” Indeed, using a baseline valuation method, even using a much lower growth rate of 15%, indicates an intrinsic value of $49.36.

Using the current consensus 2011 growth rate of 31% shows a PEG of just .74 for LLTC, which would also indicate that it’s undervalued.

More defensive, income-oriented investors may wish to hedge their bets on LLTC by selling covered calls.  However, they may miss out on a substantial upside gain.

Our Covered Call table lists the Jan. 2011 $30.00 call, which had a bid today of $2.20, an 11.5% annualized yield.  In addition, covered call sellers should receive two dividend payments of  $.23/quarter prior to the Jan. expiration, for a total payout of  $2.66/share.

The total static yield on this 8-month trade would be 9.4%, or 13.9% annualized.  The breakeven on this covered call trade is $25.52.

The potential assigned yield offers an additional $1.06/share, (3.79%), which could increase your total potential assigned yield to 13.29%, or 23.40% annualized.

Alternatively, if you wanted an even lower break-even point, you could sell cash-secured put options. Our Covered Puts table currently lists the Jan. 2011 $25 put, which was bid at $2.05 today, for an 8.2% yield in 8 months, or 12.07% annualized.

This would give you a $22.95 breakeven, which makes LLTC’s $.92/share dividend equate to a 4.1% yield. (These put-selling yields are based upon 100% cash reserve.)  LLTC closed today at $28.18.

Disclosure: No positions at this time.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only.

New Zealand Telecom, (NZT), Maintains Its High Dividend Yield for 2010

By Robert Hauver

New Zealand Telecom has one of the highest dividend yields in the Telecom Stocks section of our High Dividend Stocks by Sector Tables, with a 9.54% dividend yield currently. However, they just declared a quarterly dividend for Q3 Fiscal 2010 of $.2122/ADS, which works out to almost 85 cents annually.  NZT closed Friday, May 7th, at $7.44/ADS, which would make their forward dividend yield approx. 11.29%.

The ex-dividend date is May 18th, and the payment date is June 11th. (One ADS, American Depository Share, equals 5 Ordinary New Zealand shares, and 1 New Zealand $ equals 0.714850 US $ ).  (NZT pays dividends quarterly.)

NZT is targeting a 90% dividend payout policy, and reiterated in today’s earning release that they intend to pay the equivalent of $.8488 per ADS in dividends in 2010.  They see 2010 earnings as being -1% below 2009, which would equal about $.89/ADS, which would put their forward dividend payout ratio at 96%.  A 90% dividend payout on $.89 would equal $.80/ADS, which is still a hefty 10.77% dividend yield.

NZT reported Q3 fiscal earnings results today that were generally in line with their previous guidance, and maintained their full year guidance.  Their market share of fixed broadband was steady at 57%, and they had 7% mobile revenue growth.

Concerning valuation, NZT has one of the lowest P/E’s in the Foreign Telecom group, and its stock price is up less than 1% for the past 12 months.  If you’re looking for foreign dividend paying stocks with high dividend yields, you may want to consider NZT.  (There are no options available for NZT).

Disclosure: Author is long shares of NZT.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only.

Microchip Technology, (MCHP) – A Tech Dividend Stock With High Option Yields

By Robert Hauver

Microchip Technology, (MCHP), is a dividend paying stock listed in the Tech section of our High Dividend Stocks by Sector tables.  MCHP’s current dividend yield is 4.66%. MCHP is a leading provider of microcontroller and analog semiconductors, and is based in Arizona.  The firm recently upped its earnings guidance for Q4 fiscal 2010, from $.34/share to $.42, (non-GAAP), citing stronger bookings and sales.  They also expect sales to be up 8%.  MCHP reports earnings this coming week, on May 5th.

MCHP recently bought Silicon Storage Technology, whose SuperFlash technology is used widely in advanced microcontrollers.  MCHP will now be able to embed this technology in its microcontrollers, which is their core business.

Although its debt load is slightly higher than its peers, MCHP’s balance sheet is solid, and this firm fares well overall in our Industry Comparison table:

MCHP Semiconductor Industry
Current Ratio 7.79 3.72
Debt/Equity 22.85% 19.30%
Profit Margin 19.47 10.60
Price/Free Cash/Share 10.85 25.15
ROE 13.11 10.12
ROI 36.46 9.10
PE 33.19 28.85

MCHP’s current PE looks a bit rich vs. its peers.  Investors looking to lower their breakeven costs could do so by selling covered calls on MCHP.  Our Covered Calls Table currently lists the October $30.00 call option, (QMT10J1630.0), for MCHP as having a 16%-plus annualized static yield, and an assigned annualized yield of nearly 23%.  Your breakeven cost on this options trade would be $26.98, Friday’s closing price of $29.21, minus the $2.23 in call and dividend money from the trade.

An additional strategy for lowering your breakeven cost would be to sell MCHP put options. The October $30.00 put option listed for MCHP in our Put Selling table is currently worth a $3.00 bid, which equals a 10% nominal yield, or 22%-plus annualized. Your breakeven would be $27.00 on this options trade.  (These percentages are based upon 100% cash reserve).

Disclosure: No positions in MCHP at this time.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only.