An Undervalued High Dividend Stock With Lucrative Cash Secured Puts

Posted on May 15, 2013

by Robert Hauver
We first wrote an earlier article about Northern Tier Energy LP, (NTI), back in early April, when the big question was whether or not this MLP would continue to pay its huge quarterly dividend. This older article also details NTI’s business model, which we like.
In February, NTI paid out a $1.27 dividend, which equated to an 18.55% forward dividend yield, making it one of the highest yielding dividend paying stocks in the market, and putting at the top of the Energy table in our High Dividend Stocks By Sector Tables.
Well, we’re happy to report that, thanks to a big blowout quarter, in which NTI reported an adjusted net income of $108.2 million, that was 20 times its Q1 2012 adjusted net income, NTI is keeping the faith, with another huge distribution, which goes ex-dividend on May 21,2013:

“The Board of Directors of Northern Tier Energy GP LLC, the general partner of Northern Tier Energy LP, has approved a first quarter distribution of $1.23 per unit that will be paid in cash on May 30, 2013 to common unit holders of record as of the close of business on May 23, 2013.” Cash available for distribution totaled $113.2 million for the first quarter 2013.” (Source: NTI website)

This continuing huge dividend payout raises the same question it did in the 1st quarter of 2013: Will NTI keep making these big quarterly distributions, or will it trim its payouts in the next few quarters?
Fortunately, NTI also has high options yields, which give you some alternatives. We currently have a very attractive September $25.00 put listed for NTI in our Cash Secured Puts Table. This put will pay you $2.60 now, and expires in roughly 4 months, which gives you a 30%-plus annualized yield.
To put this into perspective, even if NTI matches its current $1.23/unit May payout in the next quarterly payout, in August, you’d receive $2.46 in distributions, (possibly), vs. $2.60, for sure, right now, by selling the September $25.00 put. The other benefit of this trade is that it gives you a $22.40 breakeven, which is 16% below NTI’s current price/share.

The traditional, simpler approach is to buy NTI outright, and hold onto the shares long-term, using the dividend stream for income, and to ride out the potential ups and downs of NTI’s future share price and distributions.
We’ve adopted a combo of 2 strategies for NTI, since we believe in its business model: 1. Buy and hold for income and potential price appreciation 2. Sell cash secured puts, in order to gain additional income, and lower our ultimate breakeven cost.

NTI also has Covered Calls, which we list in our Covered Calls Table, where you can also see details on over 30 other covered calls trades.
However, the problem with adopting a short-term Covered Call trade for NTI is the uncertainty surrounding its next quarterly distribution – will it be $1.23 again, or will they cut the next distribution?
The biggest short term obstacle in NTI’s path is that they’ll be doing a scheduled shutdown of their refinery in the 2nd quarter for about 25 days. But there’s a silver lining- they’re doing the shutdown in order to expand their refining capacity. Yes, the 2nd quarter will show lower earnings, BUT, long term, the shutdown is a positive for NTI and its shareholders, due to the expanded capacity.
Institutional investors also believe in NTI’s future growth, as do analysts, who are projecting big EPS growth for 2013 and 2014, making NTI look undervalued on a PEG basis:

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.
Disclosure: The author was long NTI shares and short NTI put options at the time of this writing.

How To Grab A Fast Double-Digit Yield From This Dow Dividend Stock

Posted on May 1, 2013

by Robert Hauver
Dow dividend stock IBM, (IBM), is going ex-dividend next week, on 5/8/13:

IBM dipped below $200.00 again today, 5/1/13, which sets up a high yield, short-term covered call trade:

There are 3 potential income scenarios to this 2-week trade, all of which pay you at least a $2.08/share call option premium:
1. Static – IBM’s share price isn’t above $200.00 at or near expiration, and your IBM shares don’t get assigned/sold. You receive the $2.08 call premium and the $.95 dividend.
2. Assigned before the ex-dividend date- IBM’s share price is above $200.00 before 5/8/13, and your IBM shares get assigned/sold. You receive the $2.08 call option premium, and the price gain of $.37, but not the $.95/share dividend.
3. Assigned after the ex-dividend date- IBM is above $200.00 after 5/8/13, and your IBM shares get assigned/sold on or near the 5/17/13 expiration date. You’d receive the $2.08 call option premium, the $.95/share dividend, and the price gain of $.37:

You can see more details for this and over 35 other high yield options trades in our free Covered Calls Table.

Cash Secured Puts: We also list a short term put-selling trade for IBM which offers a 13.5% annualized yield, in our free Cash Secured Puts Table.

Earnings: IBM got beaten up after its most recent quarterly earnings report disappointed – revenue fell 5%, and diluted normalized EPS fell 7.2%. However, the 15% earnings estimates for 2013 are still strong enough to give it an undervalued 2013 PEG ratio:

Financials: Although it has more debt, IBM’s Mgt. Efficiency ratios are very superior to its peer industry’s averages. This cash cow also has an Interest Coverage ratio of over 35., and also has a 5-year Dividend Growth Rate of over 17%.

Other Valuations: Like many Dow dividend stocks, IBM commands a premium Price/Book value vs.its peers:

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.
Disclosure: The author was short IBM put options at the time of this writing.

These 2 High Dividend Stocks Go Ex-Dividend Next Week

Posted on April 25, 2013

by Robert Hauver

There are 2 dividend stocks from our High Dividend Stocks By Sector Tables, which go ex-dividend on 5/1/13: Calumet Specialty Products Partners, LP, (CLMT), and PAA Natural Gas Storage, (PAA).

CLMT is a refiner and processor of specialty hydrocarbon products, and operates six plants including operations in Northwest Louisiana, Pennsylvania, Texas and Illinois.

PAA’s business consists of the acquisition, development, operation and commercial management of natural gas storage facilities. Although PAA is listed as a Gas Utility stock on financial websites, it’s actually more of an Energy-related stock.

PAA owns and operates 3 natural gas storage facilities located in Louisiana, Mississippi and Michigan. PAA’s customers include electric utilities, local distribution companies, pipelines, natural gas producers, LNG importers, aggregators, marketers, and industrial and commercial end use customers.

Valuations: Both of these stocks are closer to the low end of their 5-year P/E range – (PNG went public in 2010, so there’s less history for it than for CLMT.)

Dividends: CLMT has a very impressive 51% dividend growth rate over the past 5 years, having raised its quarterly distributions from $.45 in 2008-2009, up to the current new $.68 payout. In fact, CLMT’s frequency of rate hikes has also increased – they raised their distributions 3 times in 2011, and 4 times in 2012, and just raised it again in the 1st quarter of 2013, to $.68 from $.65. After its 2010 IPO, PNG raised its distribution from $.21 to $.34, and then from $.35 to $.36 in 2011, where it remains currently:

Performance: Both stocks have had a strong run over the past year, especially CLMT.

Options: Although both stocks have options available, at present CLMT’s are much more compelling, particularly its cash secured puts. This strategy would make sense in light of the 93% price gains CLMT has had. This put trade offers you a 15%-plus annualized yield, and a breakeven that’s 11.55% below CLMT’s share price.

You can see more details on this and over 35 other high options yields trades in our free Cash Secured Puts Table.

If you’re also interested in selling Covered Calls, we maintain a free Covered Calls Table, which also has over 35 high yield trades.

Financials: Except for its heavier debt load, CLMT’s ratios look stronger vs. its industry than PNG’s do. CLMT has an Interest Coverage ratio of 1.64. PNG has a much higher Operating Margin than its peers, and most of its ratios are in line with its industry’s averages:

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.
Disclosure: The author had no positions in CLMT or PNG at the time of this writing.

Can This High Dividend Stock Maintain Its 18% Dividend Yield?

Posted on April 10, 2013

by Robert Hauver

Looking for high dividend stocks? Our search for interesting dividend stocks has uncovered a refining/retailing/pipeline stock with one of the highest dividend yields in the market: Northern Tier Energy, (NTI), is a combination refining/retailing company, based in St. Paul, Minnesota, near the booming Bakken shale play in the Midwest.

NTI’s ability to source Bakken light sweet crude and Western Canadian heavy crude, gives it a big advantage as a refiner, since both of these sources are cheaper than West Texas Intermediate crude. NTI owns one of only two refineries in Minnesota and one of four refineries in the Upper Great Plains area within the PADD II region.

In addition to refining, NTI also has a ready sales outlet for its refined products, as it owns 166 convenience stores under the SuperAmerica brand and also supports 68 franchised convenience stores, mainly in Wisconsin and Minnesota. NTI also owns various storage and transportation assets, including a light products terminal, a heavy products terminal, storage tanks, rail loading/unloading facilities and a Mississippi river dock.

The refining business also includes a 17% interest in the Minnesota Pipe Line Company, which owns and operates the Minnesota Pipeline, a 455,000 bpd crude oil pipeline system that transports crude oil (primarily from Western Canada and North Dakota) for approximately 300 miles from the Enbridge pipeline hub at Clearbrook, Minnesota to the refinery. The Minnesota Pipeline has historically transported the majority of the crude oil used and processed in the refinery. (Source: NTI website)

Dividends: Since its IPO in July 2012, NTI has paid 2 distributions: $1.48 on 11/29/12, and $1.27 on 2/28/13. Projecting their most recent $1.27 distribution forward for 3 more quarters gives NTI a very high dividend yield of 18.55%!

Here’s the million $ question: Will NTI maintain this level of dividends? The following may offer a clue for the upcoming May distribution:

In the 1st quarter of 2013, the avg. retail gasoline price was $3.55, better than 4th quarter 2012. If you use 37% as a projected ratio of distribution paid to avg. retail gasoline price, this would indicate a potential May payout of $1.31. Of course, this is a very rough estimate, and it could be derailed by other factors – NTI’s refining margins may have shrunk in the 1st quarter, or mgt. may decide to utilize more of its cash for infrastructure expansion investments. NTI stated in a recent investor presentation that it “plans to invest in logistics operations targeting trucking, terminal and pipeline assets.”

Given this uncertainty, and NTI’s big 88% rise since its IPO, what should you do?
Options: Here’s what we did, (so far). We sold puts below NTI’s share price, to lower our breakeven, in case the stock price falls, if NTI cuts its May distribution. This trade projects the same quarterly distribution of $1.27 in May and August. Coincidentally, the Sept. 2013 $25.00 put pays $2.50, which nearly matches this projected payout. (Note: put sellers don’t receive dividends.) You can find more details on this and over 30 other put trades in our free Cash Secured Puts Table.

Covered Calls: Alternatively, you could buy NTI and sell covered calls to hedge your bet. This would pay you less option $ up front, but allow you to participate in future distributions and potential price gains.
This trade, from our Covered Calls Table, offers a $1.60 call premium, plus the potential for $2.61 in price gains, ($30 call strike minus $27.39 share price). You’ll also receive NTI’s next distributions, unless NTI rises above $30 before the ex-dividend dates, and your shares get assigned/sold. NTI should announce its next distribution sometime around May 13th.

Earnings: NTI looks very undervalued on a 2013 PEG basis, but analysts are projecting much less growth for 2014. However, given its ability to pay very attractive distributions thus far in its short history, even if NTI just keeps its yield in the “double-digit realm”, its dividend yield should continue to attract investors, and support its share price in the future.

Financials: NTI’s ratios look better than its peers so far. It does carry more debt, but it has sufficient Interest Coverage and a strong Current Ratio:

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.
Disclosure: The author was short NTI put options at the time of this writing.

3 High Dividend Stocks Going Ex-Dividend Next Week

Posted on March 21, 2013

There are several dividend stocks going ex-dividend next week, (3/25/13 – 3/3/29/13) from the Financials section of our High Dividend Stocks By Sector Tables. The following 3 stocks are mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts, or “mREITS”, as they are popularly known. They invest in mortgage-related securities, issued by government agencies, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and use leverage to achieve high dividend yields.

Dividends: CMO increased its quarterly dividend to $.31, from $.30, while NLY and RSO maintained their dividend payouts this quarter. RSO maintained a $.25 quarterly dividend from late 2009 through 2011, but it dropped its quarterly payout to $.20 in 2012. Prior to the housing crisis, RSO paid as high as $.41. NLY dropped its dividend payout twice in 2012, to $.55, and then to $.50, before seemingly stabilizing at $.45 in Dec. 2012.

As REIT’s, they must pay out at least 90% of their income, in exchange for paying no corporate income taxes, hence their high dividend yields. Even with the decrease in dividend payouts, these yields are still quite high:

Current Valuations: The smallest stock by Market Cap, RSO’s P/E is closest to the low end of its 5-year P/E range, but CMO is the cheapest on a Price/Book basis:

Options: Although all 3 of these stocks have options, we don’t list them in our Covered Calls Table or our Cash Secured Puts Table, due to low options yields. However, there over 30 other high yield trades in each of those free tables, which are maintained daily.

Financials: All 3 firms have similar Returns On Equity. RSO carries the least debt, and lags in Return On Investment and Interest Coverage:

Performance/Ownership: RSO has outperformed CMO and NLY in 2013, and over the past 52 weeks, partly due to its higher support from institutional and inside buyers:

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.
Disclosure: The author owned CMO and NLY shares at the time of this writing.

2 Dividend Stocks With High Yielding Covered Calls

Posted on March 6, 2013

by Robert Hauver

There are 2 dividend stocks in our Covered Calls Table, that currently have interesting high options yields on out of the money strike prices:

Calumet Specialty Products Partners LP, (CLMT), and Cummins, (CMI).

Dividends: Both of these stocks have ex-dividend dates in May, prior to their May options expiration date of May 17, 2013 market close. CLMT, with its nearly 7% dividend yield, is listed in the Energy section of our High Dividend Stocks By Sector Tables.

Both stocks have covered call trades which expire on the May 17, 2013 market close, after their May ex-dividend dates. CMI’s May $120.00 call option outpays its May dividend by over 11 times:

Covered Call Profitability/Income Scenarios: Both stocks have covered call trades with strike prices far enough above their share prices, that you can still earn good income, even if the shares get assigned/sold away prior to the option expiration date. For example, the Potential Assigned Price Gain for CLMT is $1.37, ($40.00 strike price minus $38.63 share cost), vs. its $.65 May dividend:

Share Performance: Both stocks have had big price gains over the past year, and have institutional support. CLMT has outperformed the market substantially so far in 2013:

Financials: Both stocks have financial ratios above their industry averages, excepting CLMT’s debt load, which is higher than the .13 industry average. CLMT has an Interest Coverage ratio of 1.64.

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.
Disclosure: The author was short CMI puts at the time of this writing.

An Energy Dividend Stock WIth High Options Yields

Posted on February 4, 2013

by Robert Hauver

Energy Services stock Halliburton, (HAL), has risen over 18% in 2013, and is up nearly 35% since the November 15th lows. This is in spite of the fact that HAL recently posted 4th quarter 2012 earnings that were 32% lower than 2011 4th quarter earnings.

HAL’s 2012 full year earnings fell in its biggest region, North America, but rose in its other regions:

What are investors seeing? Analysts are predicting nearly flat 2013 sales, BUT, they’re forecasting 2014 sales to rise substantially, up 32%, which gives HAL a very low .42 2014 PEG ratio:

Dividends: HAL is certainly not a high dividend stock - it has kept its quarterly dividend at just $.09 since 2007, and yields under 1%:

High Options Yields: However, you can still earn good income from HAL, via selling options. We’ve listed below a short term trade for HAL, from our free Covered Calls Table. This April $41.00 call option pays over 18 times HAL’s quarterly dividend amount:

With HAL being so near its 52-week high, you may want to consider a more defensive way of trading it. Like selling covered call options, selling cash secured puts gives you immediate income, and a lower break-even cost, if you sell them below or close to the stock’s share price.

You can find more details on this and over 30 other put trades in our free Cash Secured Puts Table. The put income for this April trade is higher than the call income, and this put also pays much more than HAL’s quarterly dividend. (Note: Put sellers don’t receive dividends – we only list them on our tables for comparison.)

Financials: Although it has a lower Operating Margin, HAL’s Mgt. efficiency and Debt ratios are better than its industry’s averages.

Disclosure: The author held no Halliburton shares at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

A Tech Dividend Stock With Undervalued Growth

Posted on January 5, 2013

by Robert Hauver

Looking for Tech dividend stocks with growth in 2013? Many investors have taken note of the fact that the Tech sector grew its dividends fastest of any sector in 2012. Couple this with the potential for earnings growth in this sector, and it makes for a compelling dividend hunt.

We found a Tech stock which not only pays a regular dividend, but also recently paid a special dividend, and has a low PEG ratio for its upcoming fiscal year.

Founded in 1982, Maryland-based Tessco, (TESS), services organizations responsible for building, using and maintaining wireless broadband systems. It offers many different product lines, including base station infrastructure, installation test/maintenance, network systems, and mobile devices/accessories.

TESS is a micro-cap stock, with a $195 million market cap, and is listed in the Tech section of our High Dividend Stocks By Sector Tables, after the firm’s special dividend doubled its dividend yield.

Earnings: Tessco’s fiscal year typically ends at the end of March, so, even though the chart below shows much better growth in 2014 than 2013, Tessco’s 2014 fiscal year will begin soon, in April 2013:

TESS also had good growth in its most recent quarter, and a low .75 5-year PEG ratio. Using the 15% 5-year growth figure and a risk-adjusted discount rate of 10.89%, gives a $39.27 estimated value for TESS, which closed this week at $24.24:

Dividends: TESS did the right thing by its shareholders, by declaring a special dividend of $.75, when nobody knew what US dividend tax policy would be in 2013. With its low debt load, the company had the cash to do this. TESS has paid dividends since 2009, and has nearly tripled its quarterly payouts since then, going from $.0667, to the current $.18/quarter.

Unfortunately, TESS isn’t listed in our Covered Calls Table, or our Cash Secured Puts Table, as there are no options available for it at present.

Financials: Although TESS works on slimmer margins, this should be improving soon, as it is transitioning from a low margin business with a major Tier 1 carrier, to more profitable business elsewhere. Its management efficiency ratios and debt load look favorable vs. its industry’s averages:

Performance/Technical Data: TESS had quite a run in 2012, and is also up 8.7% for the first 3 trading days of 2013. This stock should be a good one to add to your watch list, and buy on the dips that will most likely happen when our pals in DC start doing the debt ceiling tango in a few weeks.

Disclosure: The author was long TESS shares at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

The Strongest Dividend Growth Sector In 2012

Posted on November 29, 2012

by Robert Hauver

Up until the 2008 market crash, the financial sector was one of the dividend kingpins of the S&P 500, contributing over 20% of all dividends for the index. However, in 2009, this sector’s contribution shrank to only 9%, and even dipped below that in 2010. In 2012, the financial sector has contributed 12.54% thus far.

Meanwhile, the tech sector has kept expanding its amount of dividend paying stocks, which now stands at 56% and has the largest contribution of dividends to the S&P 500 in 2012:

Which tech firms represent these new dividend stocks? We’ve listed below the four new payers for 2012, and then the stocks with the highest dividend increases:

Click to enlarge images.

Here’s how these stocks compare for earnings growth, ranked by estimated PEG for their next fiscal year:

As is often the case, Apple (AAPL), by virtue of its low P/E and strong growth, is at the top of the list. However, Visa (V) is also an interesting growth story due to its 2012 earnings being skewed downward by a big one-time litigation settlement.

On an adjusted basis, Visa’s P/E is around 23.66 vs. the 46- 79 range some of the financial websites are reporting. In addition, unlike Nvidea (NVDA), which has underperformed in 2012, Visa has a strong defensive element — it has done well in rallies and in pullbacks:

Options:

With its 44% gain this year, you may want to wait for Visa to dip in price before diving in. At present, it looks overbought on its stochastic chart.

An alternative strategy for capitalizing on the next price dip would be to sell cash secured puts below Visa’s stock price, which will offer you immediate income and a lower breakeven price. Here’s a comparison of two put trades for Visa, which illustrates the difference in actual put option premium money received, their respective annualized yields, and breakevens.

You can find more info on these and over 30 other trades in our Cash Secured Puts Table:

Disclosure: I’m long V, via being short V put options.

Disclaimer: This article was written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

A Defensive Dividend Stock That’s Beating The Market This Fall

Posted on November 7, 2012

by Robert Hauver

Wondering where to hide out for the rest of the year? What with Mario Draghi reminding the world of Europe’s problems, (as if we’d forgotten), and post-election profit-taking sending the S&P down 2.37% in one day, defensive dividend stocks are looking more and more attractive. Here’s an old familiar name that’s been bucking the fall pullback, and only fell .41% during Wednesday’s big sell-off.

Dr. Pepper Snapple Group, (DPS), has beaten the market since the September 14 highs, and also has done well during the summer rally. and during the spring pullback. Year to date, it has kept pace with the S&P, with a whole lot less drama:

Dividends: Since its spinoff in 2008 from Cadbury Schweppes, DPS has more than doubled its annualized dividend payouts, starting with its first quarterly $.15 dividend in December 2009, to its present $.34 level:

Earnings Valuation: DPS isn’t an undervalued high growth story. Indeed, its 2013 PEG and 5-year PEG are high, and its P/E sits above the median level of its 5-year P/E range:

You also can’t make the case for it being undervalued on a Price/Book or Price/Sales basis, vs. its peers:

Financials: However, it does have better Management Efficiency ratios, and a much higher Operating Margin than industry averages. Its debt load is higher, but it also has a higher Interest Coverage figure:

With its low beta, DPS doesn’t currently have enough volatility to offer high options yields, like some of the other dividend stocks we’ve covered in recent articles, but it looks like it can offer you some stability in these uncertain times.

Profile: Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc. is an integrated refreshment beverage business, marketing more than 50 beverage brands throughout North America. In addition to its flagship Dr Pepper and Snapple brands, the company’s portfolio includes 7UP, Mott’s, A&W, Sunkist Soda, Hawaiian Punch, Canada Dry, Schweppes, Squirt, RC Cola, Diet Rite, Peñafiel, Rose’s, Yoo-hoo, Clamato, Mr & Mrs T and other well-known consumer favorites. Based in Plano, Texas, DPSG employs approximately 20,000 people and operates 24 bottling and manufacturing facilities and more than distribution centers across the United States, Canada, Mexico and the Caribbean.

Disclosure: Author held no DPS shares at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.