Diebold – This Solid Dividend Stock Just Sent A Buy Signal

by Robert Hauver

It’s often been said that “timing is everything”, especially when buying stocks. We went looking for solid dividend paying stocks which might be on the verge of rising. We came up with Diebold, (DBD), which just crossed above the oversold line on its stochastic chart, an event which is seen as a buy signal by technical traders:

Company Profile: 150 years old, and based in Ohio, Diebold is a leading global supplier of ATMs, and holds the leading market position in many countries around the world. Diebold also provides security and facility solutions, software solutions, and cross-disciplinary functions which include both hardware and software capabilities, and provides professional and managed services, transaction processing, and security services. Diebold’s primary customers include financial institutions, as well as government agencies, commercial enterprises and various retail outlets. (Source: Diebold website)

Diebold hit its high for the year, at $42.25, back in April, and has struggled since, falling to the mid-30′s in the Spring pullback, and hasn’t participated much in the summer/fall rally until recently.  However, it’s up over 2.5% over the past trading month.

Earnings Growth: After bottoming out with a  -$.31/share loss in 2010, DBD came roaring back in 2011, and is estimated to grow over 15% in 2012. Analysts’ 2013 earnings estimates range from $2.65 to $3.00 for 2013, which gives DBD a higher 1.27 2013 PEG ratio.

However, DBD just beefed up its operations in Brazil, by acquiring GAS Tecnologia, a leading Brazilian Internet banking, online payment and mobile banking security company. It serves many of the country’s leading financial institutions and protects nearly 70 % of Internet banking transactions in Brazil. Internet banking services only cover about 30% of the transactions within Brazil currently, and are projected to double every 3 years.

Dividends: DBD has an impressive 5-year dividend growth rate of over 19%, and increased its quarterly payout to $.285 in the 1st quarter of 2012, from $.28:

Options: If you want to improve upon DBD’s dividend yield, there are reasonably attractive call options available. Here’s a trade from our Covered Calls Table, that offers an option premium which pays over 3 times DBD’s quarterly dividends between now and February expiration.

The minimum income you’d receive in this trade is $2.81/share, ($1.70 in call premiums, plus $1.11 in assigned price gain, if DBD rises over $35.00, and your shares get assigned before you receive either of the 2 quarterly dividends. The maximum income you’d receive is $3.37, if you receive both dividends, AND your shares are assigned.  However, it’s more likely that, if your shares got assigned, after receiving the first $.28 dividend, you wouldn’t receive the second one, since DBD’s ex-dividend date may fall on February 15th, the same day as this option expires. Hence, you’d earn $3.09, a 9%-plus yield over this 5-month term:

Diebold also has put options available, but the premiums aren’t that compelling at present. (You can find over 30 high yield trades in our Cash Secured Puts Table.)

Financials: Diebold has an impressive ROE, but does carry a bit more debt than industry averages. However it has an 8.3  Interest Coverage ratio.

Disclosure:  Author held no DBD shares at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

A High Dividend Stock That’s Ready To Rise

by Robert Hauver

Looking for cheap high dividend paying stocks? MV Oil Trust, (MVO), has shown a recurring pattern of price troughs that rise into peaks as it approaches its quarterly ex-dividend dates, which fall around the 12th of January, April, July, and October. It recently crossed back above the oversold line on its stochastic chart:

Dividends: With its 11%-plus dividend yield, MVO sits atop the Energy section of our High Dividend Stocks By Sector Tables.  By law, trusts are required to pay out at least 90% of their income in distributions, in return for not paying taxes. MVO’s next ex-dividend date should be around October 12th. (Trust dividends are referred to as distributions.)

Dividend History: MVO will need to pay out at least $.76 in October, to keep pace with its 2011 payout level. Judging by its earnings, (see below), this should be achievable.

Earnings: MVO is one of only of a handful of energy trusts which had strong earnings growth in 2011, (up over 25%), and in the most recent quarter. As noted below, MVO earns royalties from assets which are 98% oil, vs. only 2% natural gas, hence its advantage over natural gas trusts, many of which had been hurt by plummeting prices.

Profile: MV Oil Trust was formed in August 2006, by MV Partners, LLC. MV Partners conveys a term net profits interest to the trust that represents the right to receive 80% of the net proceeds from all of MV Partners’ interests in oil and natural gas properties, which are located in the Mid-Continent region in the States of Kansas and Colorado.  As of June 30, 2006, the underlying properties produced predominantly oil from approximately 985 wells, and the projected reserve life of the underlying properties was in excess of 50 years.

Production from the underlying properties for the year ended December 31, 2005, was approximately 98% oil and approximately 2% natural gas and natural gas liquids. The underlying properties are all located in mature fields that are characterized by long production histories and numerous additional development opportunities to help reduce the natural decline in production from the underlying properties.

The net profits interest will terminate on the later to occur of (1) June 30, 2026, or (2) the time when 14.4 MMBoe have been produced from the underlying properties and sold (which amount is the equivalent of 11.5 MMBoe in respect of the trust’s right to receive 80% of the net proceeds from the underlying properties pursuant to the net profits interest).

Options: There are no put options or call options available for MVO.

Disclosure:  Author had no positions in any of the stocks mentioned in this article at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

3 Basic Materials Dividend Stocks Trouncing The Market

By Robert Hauver

Basic Materials had been getting pummeled in 2012, for a number of reasons, chiefly the slowdown in the world economy, particularly China, and a strong dollar. This sector is the worst performing sector so far, down 0.6% in 2012:

However, over the past month, this sector has outperformed all others, thanks to a falling dollar, and renewed stimulus from the Chinese government.  Click here to read more…

Standard Motor Parts Has Very High Options Yields

Standard Motor Parts, (SMP), had been beaten up after its disappointing 2nd quarter earnings release on May 3rd, but the market has gotten much more revved up about this Industrial dividend stock this summer. SMP received an analyst upgrade in early June, which certainly helped its share price:

Maybe this is why – even after its recent price gains, SMP still looks very undervalued on PEG basis.

Click here to read more…

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

 

Worthington Industries Is On A Roll

by Robert Hauver

Looking for dividend stocks with market support?

Steel and Metal processor Worthington Industries, (WOR), has been on a roll since the June 4th lows, rising over 42%, vs. the S&P, which has gained approx. 6%. This dividend stock has done better than the Steel & Iron industry, which is up approx. 4% since June 4th, but is still down 9% for the year, vs. WOR’s big 36.72% gain:

Earnings Growth: A big part of the attraction for WOR stems from its EPS growth figures, which show it to still be undervalued on a PEG basis for next year’s earnings:  Click here to read more…
 

Disclosure:  Author had no positions in WOR at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

Schlumberger Just Sent A Buy Signal

By Robert Hauver

Buy Signal- Schlumberger dipped below the oversold 20 line on its Stochastic chart, but just crossed back above the line this week, which is seen by chartists as a buy signal:

SLB-CHART

Schlumberger, (SLB), is the world’s largest oilfield services provider, whose $83 billion market cap dwarfs those of its competitors, such as Halliburton and Baker Hughes.  Like most Basic Materials/Energy-related stocks, SLB has been getting hammered this year, due to a number of factors – slowing Chinese and US growth, Eurozone problems, and declining oil prices.  However, the oil price decline is a 2-edged sword, because some of that decline is due to the new shale oil discoveries that are being exploited via fracking in the US, which is Schlumberger’s biggest and most lucrative market:

Click here to read more…

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

VF Corp, A Dividend Stock WIth A 20% Option Yield

By Robert Hauver

VF Corp., (VFC), has been one of the best stocks to buy this year for price gains, having outperformed the market thus far in 2012, and is only 9.06% off of its 52-week highs.VFC is among the top 20 Consumer Goods dividend stocks for 2012 performance.

VFC is a $9 billion apparel and footwear powerhouse, with a very diverse, international portfolio of brands and products, including such well known brands as Lee, Nautica, Wrangler, North Face, and Timberland.

VFC-BETA

With its 2.06% dividend yield, VFC isn’t really part of the high dividend stocks universe, but you can vastly improve upon its dividends by selling covered calls or cash secured puts.

Here’s a covered call trade for VFC, that’s listed in our Covered Call Table, along with over 30 other trades with high options yields.  Click here to read more…

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

3 High Dividend Stocks Bucking The Spring Pullback

By Robert Hauver

The S&P 500 has pulled back approx. 4% since its early April highs, which begs the question, are there any dividend paying stocks that have beaten the market since then?  We took 3 dividend stocks from our High Dividend Stocks By Sector tables, and researched how they’ve done in all of the various rallies and pullbacks since last summer.

These 3 stocks have all held up better than the market in pullbacks, and have also participated in rallies.  Not surprisingly, these defensive dividend stocks hail from the Healthcare and Utilities sectors: NextEra Energy, (NEE), Xcel Energy, (XEL), and Eli Lilly Co., (LLY):

LLY-NEE-PERF-LONG

Click here to read more…

Disclosure: Author had no positions in any of the above stocks at the time of this writing.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

The Top Dow Dividend Stocks For First Quarter 2012 Earnings

By Robert Hauver

25 of the 30 Dow Jones Industrials have reported 1st quarter 2012 earnings so far. 18 firms have reported positive growth, and 7 have reported negative growth, with the range running from Boeing, (BA), with 54% year-over-year 1st quarter growth, down to beleaguered Bank of America, (BAC), with -82%. These 2 Dow dividend stocks reported the best 1st quarter 2012 earnings growth year-over-year:

Click here to read more…

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved

These Dow Dividend Stocks Are Bucking The April Pullback

By Robert Hauver

It’s been a rainy April for the market thus far, with the S&P down almost -3.00% through 4/19/12. Being  optimistic, we went searching for dividend paying stocks that are bucking the new market pullback.  We found 2 contenders, Caterpillar, (CAT), and Home Depot, (HD), that have held their own in this month’s market decline, and have also done well in recent rallies:

CAT-HD-PERF

HD beat CAT in the Nov. 2011 pullback, and has also had stronger share performance year to date and during this month’s decline.

Valuations & Earnings Growth: CAT derives a lot of its profits from overseas, vs. Home Depot’s mostly domestic focus on the US home market. Subsequently, CAT has had stronger earnings growth in its most recent quarter and fiscal year, as the hobbled US consumer slowly picks up spending, and the home market remains weak. Although it’s up over 18% this year, CAT still looks more undervalued on a PEG basis than HD.

CAT-HD-PEG

We’ll find out if CAT’s current EPS projections hold, when it reports earnings, on its upcoming April 25th morning conference call next week. (Judging by how far off analysts have been in their CAT estimates in recent quarters, it should be an interesting report.)

CAT-ANLYSTMISSES

Dividends: Although CAT and HD aren’t high dividend stocks, both firms have a 5-year dividend growth rate that’s above their industry avgs.: CAT’s is 9.62%, and HD’s is 9.03%. CAT’s dividend payout ratio is more conservative than its industry avgs., while HD’s is much higher than its industry’s low avg. of 26.4%:

CAT-HD-DIVS

Covered Calls: Combining covered call options with dividend stocks is a powerful way to create much more immediate income than many stocks’ dividends offer over 1 – 3 quarters.  The increase in income is particularly high in a stock like CAT, which has high options yields that dwarf its dividend yield.  The tradeoff is that you may forgo potential future price gains, in return for being paid a call option premium now.  CAT has a higher beta and more volatility than HD, which gives it higher options yields.

In this trade, CAT’s August $110.00 call options pay well over 12 times its $.46 quarterly dividend.

CAT-HD-CALLS

If CAT is above $110.00 at or near expiration in August, your shares will be sold/assigned for $110.00, no matter how much higher CAT rises.  You’ll receive an additional $2.64/share in price gain, for an additional assigned yield of 7.54% annualized, and the total potential assigned yield is 25.86%. ($110.00 strike price – $107.36 stock cost = $2.64/share.)

How does this compare to just buying CAT outright at $107.36? Since you received a call premium of $5.95, at a strike price of $110.00, your maximum price point potential is $115.95.  If CAT doesn’t go as high as $115.95 during this 4-month term, you’d be ahead by selling this covered call.

(Each option contract corresponds to 100 shares of the underlying stock.)

The 3 income streams in this covered call trade are, (for 1oo shares of stock bought and 1 call option sold):

1. Call premium of $5.95/share, (paid within 3 days of the trade): $595.00

2. Quarterly dividend of $.46/share, (paid in August, ex-dividend date in July): $46.00

3. Potential assigned price gain of $2.64/share, if CAT is above $110.00 at or near expiration: $264.00

(You can see more details for over 30 other high options yields trades in our Covered Calls Table.)

Technical Data: CAT and HD have been two of the best stocks to buy for price gains over the past year:

CAT-HD-TECH

As the table above shows, both of these stocks are quite close to their 52-week highs, which leads us to another, more conservative options strategy – selling puts.

Cash Secured Puts: By selling cash secured puts below a stock’s current price, you’ll achieve a lower break-even price, and also get paid within 3 days of making the put sale. However, you won’t qualify for any dividends, but, as you can see, the put options listed below pay out over 6 to 14 times what these quarterly dividends pay.

For every put option that you sell, your broker will secure enough cash in your account to purchase 100 shares of the underlyng stock, at whatever the put option’s strike price is, hence the name “cash secured puts”. In the CAT put option trade below, the broker would hold $10,500.00, (100 times the $105.00 strike price).

There are more details on these and over 30 other high yield Cash Secured Puts trades in our Cash Secured Puts Table.)

CAT-HD-PUTS

Financials: Both firms’ metrics are far above their industry avgs, except for CAT’s higher debt load. However, CAT has an interest coverage ratio of 6.4.

CAT-HD-ROE

Disclosure: Author is short Caterpillar put options.

Disclaimer: This article is written for informational purposes only and isn’t intended as investment advice.

Author: Robert Hauver © 2012 Demar Marketing All Rights Reserved